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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
Freiburg logo

Borussia M'bach
0 - 3
Freiburg


Itakura (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gregoritsch (7'), Rohl (47'), Doan (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-2 Freiburg

With their season at serious risk of petering out, we are not expecting much from Borussia Monchengladbach on Saturday afternoon at Borussia Park. Freiburg played well in their defeat to Leverkusen before the break, and we reckon that the Breisgau Brazilians will take that positive momentum into this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 18.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawFreiburg
59.95% (3.459 3.46) 21.19% (-0.464 -0.46) 18.86% (-2.998 -3)
Both teams to score 55.76% (-3.339 -3.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.59% (-2.111 -2.11)41.41% (2.109 2.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.19% (-2.175 -2.18)63.81% (2.172 2.17)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.57% (0.36099999999999 0.36)13.43% (-0.363 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.61% (0.722 0.72)40.39% (-0.724 -0.72)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41% (-4.145 -4.15)35.59% (4.142 4.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.64% (-4.531 -4.53)72.35% (4.528 4.53)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 59.95%
    Freiburg 18.86%
    Draw 21.19%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.106 0.11)
2-0 @ 9.63% (1.122 1.12)
1-0 @ 9.6% (1.004 1)
3-1 @ 6.66% (0.158 0.16)
3-0 @ 6.45% (0.827 0.83)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.32 -0.32)
4-1 @ 3.34% (0.122 0.12)
4-0 @ 3.24% (0.452 0.45)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.136 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.067 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.196 0.2)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 59.95%
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.554 -0.55)
0-0 @ 4.78% (0.442 0.44)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.265 -0.27)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.19%
1-2 @ 5.12% (-0.629 -0.63)
0-1 @ 4.94% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.352 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.426 -0.43)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.453 -0.45)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 18.86%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Freiburg

Borussia Monchengladbach
32.7%
Draw
30.6%
Freiburg
36.7%
49
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Freiburg
3-3
Borussia M'bach
Holer (7'), Weisshaupt (70'), Grifo (90+6' pen.)
Lienhart (37'), Ginter (50')
Siebatcheu (25'), Plea (29'), Weigl (39' pen.)
Netz (79'), Weigl (90+1')
Mar 4, 2023 2.30pm
Sep 11, 2022 4.30pm
Apr 23, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
Freiburg
3-3
Borussia M'bach
Grifo (49' pen.), Gunter (61'), Lienhart (80')
Eggestein (73')
Bensebaini (3' pen.), Embolo (13'), Stindl (90+3')
Plea (59'), Kone (65'), Stindl (79'), Bensebaini (88')
Dec 5, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 14
Borussia M'bach
0-6
Freiburg

Bensebaini (15'), Kone (24')
Eggestein (2'), Schade (5'), Lienhart (12'), Hofler (19'), Holer (25'), Schlotterbeck (37')
Demirovic (44')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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