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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 18.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Freiburg |
59.95% ( 3.46) | 21.19% ( -0.46) | 18.86% ( -3) |
Both teams to score 55.76% ( -3.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.59% ( -2.11) | 41.41% ( 2.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.19% ( -2.18) | 63.81% ( 2.17) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.57% ( 0.36) | 13.43% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.61% ( 0.72) | 40.39% ( -0.72) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.41% ( -4.15) | 35.59% ( 4.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.64% ( -4.53) | 72.35% ( 4.53) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Freiburg |
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 1.12) 1-0 @ 9.6% ( 1) 3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.83) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.32) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.45) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.2) Other @ 3.27% Total : 59.95% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.55) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.44) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.27) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.19% | 1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.63) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.43) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.45) Other @ 2.72% Total : 18.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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