Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 FC Koln
With both managers having some key players unavailable to choose from, and Frankfurt potentially facing fatigue after having a fixture pile-up already, we can envisage a share of the spoils between these sides on Sunday.
Koln will be desperate to avoid losing all three of their league games ahead of the international break, while Frankfurt may be content enough to remain unbeaten in hope of reintegrating Kolo Muani to their starting XI later in September.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 54.21% . A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 21.83% .
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.72%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%) , while for a FC Koln win it was 0-1 (6.68%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result Eintracht Frankfurt Draw FC Koln 54.21% ( -0.08) 23.95% ( 0.43) 21.83% ( -0.36)
Both teams to score 51.41% ( -1.82)
50.53% ( -2.18) 49.47% ( 2.18)
28.49% ( -2) 71.5% ( 1.99)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
81.85% ( -0.83) 18.15% ( 0.83)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 50.87% ( -1.44) 49.12% ( 1.44)
62.81% ( -1.57) 37.19% ( 1.57)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.02% ( -1.59) 73.97% ( 1.58)
Eintracht Frankfurt 54.21%
FC Koln 21.83%
Draw 23.95%
Eintracht Frankfurt Draw FC Koln 1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.7) 2-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.38% Total : 54.21% 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.95% 0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.68% Total : 21.83%
How you voted: Frankfurt vs FC Koln
Eintracht Frankfurt
Draw
FC Koln
44
rhs 2.0
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