MX23RW : Tuesday, June 25 06:12:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Heidenheim
Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Dec 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Voith-Arena
Freiburg logo

Heidenheim
3 - 2
Freiburg

Dinkci (52'), Kleindienst (84'), Ginter (90+2' og.)
Schoppner (33'), Fohrenbach (37'), Gimber (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Holer (7', 64' pen.)
Gulde (5'), Sildillia (36'), Rohl (60'), Hofler (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 0-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 FC Koln
Sunday, December 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Heidenheim 1-2 Freiburg

Both sides should head into this contest with plenty of confidence having put together winning runs. While Heidenheim still have plenty of work to do to secure safety, they are well ahead of schedule in that regard. Freiburg, meanwhile, have moved back into the Europa League qualification places and will be determined to stay there during Christmas and the New Year. We expect them to gain a narrow victory on Wednesday to ensure that is the case. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 50.27%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.

Result
HeidenheimDrawFreiburg
50.27% (0.118 0.12) 23.7% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 26.03% (-0.158 -0.16)
Both teams to score 57.03% (-0.281 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (-0.301 -0.3)44.31% (0.302 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.31% (-0.294 -0.29)66.68% (0.29300000000001 0.29)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)17.7% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.64% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)48.35% (0.118 0.12)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3% (-0.285 -0.28)30.7% (0.285 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.05% (-0.334 -0.33)66.95% (0.334 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Heidenheim 50.27%
    Freiburg 26.03%
    Draw 23.7%
HeidenheimDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.41% (0.102 0.1)
2-0 @ 8.15% (0.07 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.7% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 50.27%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.43% (0.071 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.7%
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.42% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 26.03%

How you voted: Heidenheim vs Freiburg

Heidenheim
23.9%
Draw
17.4%
Freiburg
58.7%
46
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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