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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Stuttgart

Hoffenheim
2 - 2
Stuttgart

Kramaric (11', 90+4')
Akpoguma (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Guirassy (45+5'), Endo (77')
Karazor (66'), Ahamada (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 3-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 Mainz
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-1 Stuttgart

This is destined to be a cagey affair between two sides struggling at the bottom end of the table, so Hoffenheim should be able to end their four-game losing run with a draw on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawStuttgart
52.82% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 22.32% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 24.86% (-0.106 -0.11)
Both teams to score 60.61% (-0.173 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.96% (-0.177 -0.18)39.04% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.64% (-0.186 -0.19)61.36% (0.189 0.19)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)14.88% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.77% (-0.061 -0.06)43.22% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2% (-0.176 -0.18)28.8% (0.179 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35% (-0.221 -0.22)64.65% (0.223 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 52.82%
    Stuttgart 24.86%
    Draw 22.32%
HoffenheimDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.16% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.78% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.15%
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 52.82%
1-1 @ 10.16% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.28% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.32%
1-2 @ 6.33% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.33% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.32% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 24.86%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart

Hoffenheim
62.4%
Draw
24.7%
Stuttgart
12.9%
85
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2022 7.30pm
Hoffenheim
2-1
Stuttgart
Baumgartner (85', 90')
Geiger (16'), Baumgartner (33'), Hubner (45+4')
Endo (58')
Anton (81'), Forster (90+5')
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Mar 14, 2021 5pm
Nov 21, 2020 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
3-3
Stuttgart
Baumgartner (16'), Sessegnon (48'), Kramaric (71' pen.)
Sessegnon (4'), Posch (77'), Geiger (90+4')
Gonzalez (18'), Wamangituka (27'), Kempf (90+2')
Castro (30'), Kempf (89')
Mar 16, 2019 2.30pm
Stuttgart
1-1
Hoffenheim
Zuber (66')
Castro (45'), Zuber (68'), Ascacibar (69'), Kabak (75')
Kramaric (42')
Joelinton (59'), Schulz (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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