Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 11

Oct 22, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
5 - 0
Stuttgart

Bellingham (2', 53'), Sule (13'), Reyna (44'), Moukoko (72')
Ozcan (45+1')

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hannover 0-2 Dortmund
Wednesday, October 19 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Stuttgart 6-0 Arminia Bielefeld
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Stuttgart

We expect Dortmund to return to winning ways on Saturday, but the three points are unlikely to come easily against a rejuvenated Stuttgart side. The visitors have scored 10 goals in two games since sacking Matarazzo, although they have not faced an opponent anywhere near the calibre of BVB even taking into account the hosts' recent drop off. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 15.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Stuttgart
65.92% ( -0)	18.74% ( 0)	15.34% ( 0)

Both teams to score 56.84% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.6% (

-0.01)

36.4% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.46% (

-0.01)

58.54% (

0.01)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.7%

10.3% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.29% (

-0.01)

33.71% (

0.01)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.37% (

-0)

36.64% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.58% (

-0)

73.43% (

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 65.92%

Stuttgart 15.34%

Draw 18.74%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Stuttgart
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.42% 3-0 @ 7.39% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.22% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.2% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.72% 4-2 @ 2.12% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.92% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.97% Total : 65.92%	1-1 @ 8.61% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.74%	1-2 @ 4.32% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.79% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.65% 1-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.23% Total : 15.34%