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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wolfsburg in this match.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Wolfsburg |
50.17% ( -0.44) | 23.14% ( 0.09) | 26.69% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 59.58% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.78% ( -0.1) | 41.23% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.38% ( -0.1) | 63.62% ( 0.11) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.41% ( -0.19) | 16.59% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.61% ( -0.36) | 46.39% ( 0.36) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.43% ( 0.21) | 28.57% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.63% ( 0.26) | 64.37% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Wolfsburg |
2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.34% Total : 50.17% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.51% Total : 26.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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