MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 09:12:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Koln logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 26, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Wolfsburg

FC Koln
1 - 2
Wolfsburg

Waldschmidt (55')
Adamyan (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wind (62', 72')
Cerny (58'), Majer (79'), Wind (89'), Arnold (89'), Zesiger (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 FC Koln
Saturday, August 19 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-0 Heidenheim
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-2 Wolfsburg

This is likely to be a tight match between two relatively evenly-matched teams, but Koln's lack of offensive firepower due to several injury issues could end up costing them. Despite missing Nmecha due to injury yet again, Wolfsburg retain several technically proficient attacking options, with Wind set to be full of confidence after bagging a brace against Heidenheim. We can envisage a marginal away win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wolfsburg in this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawWolfsburg
50.17% (-0.439 -0.44) 23.14% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 26.69% (0.358 0.36)
Both teams to score 59.58% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.78% (-0.103 -0.1)41.23% (0.11 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.38% (-0.104 -0.1)63.62% (0.11 0.11)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (-0.194 -0.19)16.59% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.61% (-0.358 -0.36)46.39% (0.364 0.36)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.43% (0.214 0.21)28.57% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (0.264 0.26)64.37% (-0.258 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 50.17%
    Wolfsburg 26.69%
    Draw 23.13%
FC KolnDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.52% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.65% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.74% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 50.17%
1-1 @ 10.66% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.74% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 6.68% (0.065 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 26.69%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Wolfsburg

FC Koln
17.6%
Draw
26.5%
Wolfsburg
55.9%
34
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
FC Koln
0-2
Wolfsburg
Gerhardt (4'), Arnold (68' pen.)
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Wolfsburg
2-4
FC Koln
Nmecha (2', 79')
van de Ven (38'), Marmoush (82')
Ljubicic (22'), Otavio (32' og.), Kainz (45+2' pen.), Adamyan (81')
Duda (63')
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
FC Koln
0-1
Wolfsburg
Gerhardt (43')
Nmecha (50'), Bialek (90+4')
Dec 14, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Wolfsburg
2-3
FC Koln
Nmecha (8'), Weghorst (51')
Nmecha (14'), Roussillon (80'), Arnold (81')
Modeste (34', 89'), Uth (73')
Schmitz (61'), Czichos (87')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Wolfsburg
1-0
FC Koln
Brekalo (69')
Mbabu (22'), Gerhardt (63')

Kainz (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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