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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Oct 15, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Mainz logo

Werder Bremen
0 - 2
Mainz


Fullkrug (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ingvartsen (36'), Jae-sung (66')
Hack (45'), Burkardt (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Werder Bremen
Friday, October 7 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-1 Mainz 05

Bremen seem like a much more settled unit than Mainz, who may be struggling with the unavailability of a few key players. In the shape of their front two, the hosts have more firepower than the majority of teams in the division on current form, and we can see them ending Saturday in second position by gaining a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 54.2%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 23.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawMainz 05
54.2% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33) 22.24% (0.14 0.14) 23.56% (0.199 0.2)
Both teams to score 59.31% (-0.245 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.94% (-0.438 -0.44)40.06% (0.442 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.57% (-0.456 -0.46)62.43% (0.45999999999999 0.46)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.22% (-0.259 -0.26)14.78% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97% (-0.501 -0.5)43.03% (0.505 0.5)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.6% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)30.4% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.4% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)66.6% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 54.2%
    Mainz 05 23.56%
    Draw 22.24%
Werder BremenDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.096 0.1)
2-0 @ 8.21% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.24% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.71% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.98% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.5% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 54.2%
1-1 @ 10.22% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.091 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 6.09% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.35% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.18% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 23.56%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05

Werder Bremen
82.7%
Draw
9.6%
Mainz 05
7.7%
52
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Dec 19, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 17, 2019 5.30pm
Werder Bremen
0-5
Mainz 05

Eggestein (77'), Bittencourt (79')
Quaison (10', 19', 38'), Pavlenka (15' og.), Mateta (81')
Fernandes (18'), Baku (79')
Mar 30, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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