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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Mainz logo

Werder Bremen
4 - 0
Mainz

Ducksch (3' pen.), Stage (53'), Bittencourt (82'), Njinmah (83')
Stage (10'), Friedl (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hanche-Olsen (2'), van den Berg (65'), van den Berg (65+65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-1 Mainz 05

Neither side are likely to be particularly confident after failing to win either of their opening two matches apiece, and there could be an element of cancelling each other out given that both managers adopt similar formations. However, there is enough quality in both teams' offensive units to produce an entertaining enough encounter, and we can envisage a share of the spoils between two sides who should have enough about them to avoid being automatically relegated. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawMainz 05
33.21% (-0.128 -0.13) 23.84% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 42.94% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 61.2% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.13% (-0.175 -0.18)40.86% (0.172 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.74% (-0.178 -0.18)63.25% (0.17599999999999 0.18)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (-0.158 -0.16)24.15% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (-0.226 -0.23)58.46% (0.221 0.22)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)19.31% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.93% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)51.06% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 33.21%
    Mainz 05 42.94%
    Draw 23.84%
Werder BremenDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.63% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 33.21%
1-1 @ 10.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.66% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 8.96% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.31% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.91% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.46% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.02%
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 42.94%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Mainz

Werder Bremen
39.3%
Draw
33.9%
Mainz 05
26.8%
56
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Mainz
2-2
Werder Bremen
Ajorque (85'), Weiper (90+3')
Stage (87'), Fullkrug (90+5')
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
Werder Bremen
0-1
Mainz

Sargent (63')
Szalai (16')
Boetius (66'), Zentner (83')
Dec 19, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Mainz
0-1
Werder Bremen

Barreiro (73'), Niakhate (82')
Dinkci (90')
Eggestein (50'), Gross (90+5')
Jun 20, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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