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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Jan 9, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Dortmund logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 3
Dortmund

Sorloth (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sancho (55'), Braut Haaland (71', 84')
Delaney (32'), Akanji (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Dortmund
29.31%23.61%47.08%
Both teams to score 60%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.41%41.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.01%63.98%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07%26.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.75%62.25%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.11%17.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.32%48.68%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 29.31%
    Borussia Dortmund 47.08%
    Draw 23.61%
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.14%
1-0 @ 6.32%
2-0 @ 4.15%
3-1 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 2.69%
3-0 @ 1.81%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 29.31%
1-1 @ 10.87%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 4.82%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 9.36%
0-1 @ 8.29%
0-2 @ 7.13%
1-3 @ 5.37%
0-3 @ 4.09%
2-3 @ 3.52%
1-4 @ 2.31%
0-4 @ 1.76%
2-4 @ 1.52%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 47.08%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Dortmund

RB Leipzig
45.6%
Draw
20.3%
Borussia Dortmund
34.1%
182
Head to Head
Jun 20, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 17, 2019 7.30pm
Jan 19, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
RB Leipzig
0-1
Dortmund

Konate (40'), Upamecano (67'), Kampl (90')
Witsel (19')
Sancho (84'), Burki (90')
Aug 26, 2018 5pm
Gameweek 1
Dortmund
4-1
RB Leipzig
Dahoud (21'), Sabitzer (40' og.), Witsel (43'), Reus (90')
Diallo (68'), Dahoud (75')
Augustin (1')
Upamecano (7'), Saracchi (23')
Mar 3, 2018 5.30pm
RB Leipzig
1-1
Dortmund
Augustin (29')
Reus (38')
Weigl (33'), Dahoud (45'), Batshuayi (61'), Piszczek (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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