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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
29.31% | 23.61% | 47.08% |
Both teams to score 60% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.41% | 41.58% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.01% | 63.98% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.07% | 26.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.75% | 62.25% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.11% | 17.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.32% | 48.68% |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 7.14% 1-0 @ 6.32% 2-0 @ 4.15% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.31% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 4.82% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 9.36% 0-1 @ 8.29% 0-2 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 5.37% 0-3 @ 4.09% 2-3 @ 3.52% 1-4 @ 2.31% 0-4 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.73% Total : 47.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |