Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arminia Bielefeld in this match.