MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 19:06:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Schalke
Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Veltins-Arena
Freiburg logo

Schalke
0 - 2
Freiburg


Polter (18'), Krauss (73'), Yoshida (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Grifo (45+1', 61' pen.)
Ginter (41'), Gunter (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Schalke 04 and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Olympiakos
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Schalke 04 1-2 Freiburg

Freiburg may be a little tired from their European exploits on Thursday, but we expect them to have too much quality for Schalke in the end. The hosts have lost six successive matches in all competitions and it is likely to take time for Reis's desired methods to have an impact, but they should show more fight than of late at least. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Schalke 04DrawFreiburg
32.25% (-0.249 -0.25) 23.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 44.13% (0.281 0.28)
Both teams to score 61.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.9% (0.053000000000004 0.05)40.1% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.53% (0.055 0.05)62.46% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.66% (-0.121 -0.12)24.34% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.26% (-0.172 -0.17)58.73% (0.174 0.17)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.5% (0.13900000000001 0.14)18.49% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.29% (0.232 0.23)49.7% (-0.231 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Schalke 04 32.25%
    Freiburg 44.13%
    Draw 23.61%
Schalke 04DrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 7.58% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.36% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.49% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.25%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 4.5% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 9.06% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.41% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.1% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.61% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.6% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.15% (0.025 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.52% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.52% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 44.13%

How you voted: Schalke vs Freiburg

Schalke 04
10.3%
Draw
9.0%
Freiburg
80.8%
78
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
4-0
Schalke
Holer (7'), Sallai (22' pen.), Gunter (50', 74')
Santamaria (9'), Heintz (29')

Huntelaar (21')
Dec 16, 2020 5.30pm
Schalke
0-2
Freiburg

Raman (19'), Serdar (83')
Sallai (50', 68')
Santamaria (36')
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 21, 2019 2.30pm
Schalke
2-2
Freiburg
Serdar (26'), Kutucu (80')
Kenny (61')
Petersen (54' pen.), Grifo (67' pen.)
Hofler (59')
Feb 16, 2019 2.30pm
Schalke
0-0
Freiburg

Serdar (42')

Abrashi (31'), Heintz (79'), Gunter (87')
Gunter (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern54101741313
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt5401116512
3RB Leipzig532082611
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen53111410410
5Borussia DortmundDortmund5311119210
6Heidenheim530210739
7Freiburg53028719
8Stuttgart5221141048
9Union BerlinUnion Berlin52214318
10Werder Bremen5221811-38
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach520368-26
12Mainz 05Mainz5122810-25
13Wolfsburg51131011-14
14St Pauli511346-24
15Augsburg5113714-74
16Hoffenheim5104915-63
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum5014511-61
18Holstein Kiel5014717-101


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