Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Hertha Berlin2 - 1Schalke
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-2 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, October 15 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, October 15 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 5-1 Schalke
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
We said: Hertha Berlin 2-1 Schalke 04
We expect a closely-fought affair between two struggling sides, but we can envisage Hertha having enough quality to get over the line. The hosts are a much tighter defensive unit under Schwarz, with their pace and quality in transition likely to hurt Schalke, who appear to be in need of major surgery in the January transfer window. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hertha Berlin in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Schalke 04 |
42.32% ( 0.27) | 24.6% ( -0.18) | 33.08% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 58.43% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
