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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Schalke 04 | Draw | Mainz 05 |
33.08% ( -0.08) | 23.29% ( 0.01) | 43.63% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 63.2% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.77% ( -0.07) | 38.23% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.49% ( -0.07) | 60.51% ( 0.07) |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.02% ( -0.08) | 22.98% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.23% ( -0.11) | 56.77% ( 0.11) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.05% ( 0) | 17.94% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.23% ( 0.01) | 48.77% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Schalke 04 | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.08% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 3.83% Total : 43.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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