Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 14

Nov 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Veltins-Arena

Schalke
1 - 0
Mainz

Terodde (10')
Mollet (21'), Yoshida (57'), Karaman (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fernandes (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Schalke 04 and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Schalke 04

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-1 Schalke
Saturday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mainz 05

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 0-3 Wolfsburg
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Schalke 04 1-1 Mainz 05

With Schalke facing Bayern in their final match prior to the World Cup, their losing streak needs to come to an end on Wednesday if they are to avoid being even further stranded in the automatic relegation places. Mainz have looked a little out of sorts in recent matches and we can see them having to settle for a share of the spoils against their struggling opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Schalke 04	Draw	Mainz 05
33.08% ( -0.08)	23.29% ( 0.01)	43.63% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 63.2% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.77% (

-0.07)

38.23% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.49% (

-0.07)

60.51% (

0.07)

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.02% (

-0.08)

22.98% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.23% (

-0.11)

56.77% (

0.11)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.05% (

17.94% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.23% (

0.01)

48.77% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Schalke 04 33.08%

Mainz 05 43.63%

Draw 23.28%

Schalke 04	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.08%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.28%	1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 3.83% Total : 43.63%