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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Schalke

Werder Bremen
2 - 1
Schalke

Fullkrug (30'), Ducksch (76')
Veljkovic (56'), Bittencourt (69'), Pieper (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Drexler (89')
Terodde (43'), Karaman (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Schalke 0-2 Freiburg
Sunday, October 30 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-0 Schalke 04

We expect Werder Bremen to have too much attacking prowess for Schalke, who have looked hopeless in recent weeks. They may be determined to put up more of a fight under Reis's new management, but with Fullkrug in excellent goalscoring form for the hosts, they should cruise to another victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 19.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Werder Bremen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Werder Bremen.

Result
Werder BremenDrawSchalke 04
59.73% (-0.46 -0.46) 20.68% (0.168 0.17) 19.59% (0.286 0.29)
Both teams to score 58.88% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.08% (-0.357 -0.36)37.91% (0.352 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.83% (-0.383 -0.38)60.17% (0.377 0.38)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.61% (-0.242 -0.24)12.38% (0.236 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.75% (-0.505 -0.51)38.25% (0.499 0.5)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.2% (0.076999999999998 0.08)32.79% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.64% (0.088000000000001 0.09)69.36% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 59.73%
    Schalke 04 19.59%
    Draw 20.68%
Werder BremenDrawSchalke 04
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.86% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.48% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.88% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.17% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.59% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.22% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.35% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 59.73%
1-1 @ 9.46% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.06% (0.068 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.68%
1-2 @ 5.27% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-1 @ 4.53% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.52% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.96% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 19.59%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Schalke

Werder Bremen
87.8%
Draw
5.6%
Schalke 04
6.7%
90
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 12.30pm
Schalke
1-4
Werder Bremen
Terodde (88')
Vindheim (31'), Drexler (37')
Gruev (9'), Fullkrug (26'), Ducksch (51', 53')
Rapp (6'), Jung (67'), Bittencourt (84')
Nov 20, 2021 7.30pm
Werder Bremen
1-1
Schalke
Fullkrug (90+7' pen.)
Fullkrug (43')
Terodde (82')
Aydin (20'), Latza (32'), Palsson (41'), Pieringer (90+1'), Grammozis (90+6')
Jan 30, 2021 2.30pm
Sep 26, 2020 5.30pm
Schalke
1-3
Werder Bremen
Uth (90+3')
Paciencia (35'), Stambouli (36'), Uth (38'), Boujellab (55'), Kabak (58'), Bentaleb (63')
Kabak (84')
Fullkrug (22', 37', 59')
Mbom (74'), Klaassen (78')
May 30, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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