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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 15.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Union Berlin |
61.67% (![]() | 22.57% (![]() | 15.75% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.21% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.68% (![]() | 52.32% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.99% (![]() | 74.01% (![]() |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.49% (![]() | 16.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.75% (![]() | 46.25% (![]() |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.15% (![]() | 45.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.4% (![]() | 81.6% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 13.63% (![]() 2-0 @ 12.27% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.58% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.37% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.75% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.01% 5-1 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.78% Total : 61.66% | 1-1 @ 10.63% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.57% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.73% ( ![]() Other @ 0.64% Total : 22.57% | 0-1 @ 5.9% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.15% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 1.35% Total : 15.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
15 | St Pauli | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 22 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 18 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |