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Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

RB Leipzig
3 - 0
Borussia M'bach

Werner (58'), Forsberg (71' pen.), Gvardiol (80')
Raum (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 RB Leipzig
Friday, March 3 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-0 Freiburg
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

 Despite missing several influential players through injury, Leipzig should be able to get themselves back on track with a victory on home territory this weekend. Gladbach have won just once on the road all season in the Bundesliga, so it would be a major surprise if they came away from the Red Bull Arena with all three points, even if they are likely to have threatening moments in transition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 16.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 3-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
64.96% (0.33499999999999 0.33) 18.53% (-0.105 -0.11) 16.5% (-0.227 -0.23)
Both teams to score 60.57% (-0.124 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.08% (0.075000000000003 0.08)32.92% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.36% (0.083999999999996 0.08)54.63% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.44% (0.10100000000001 0.1)9.56% (-0.097899999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.99% (0.233 0.23)32.01% (-0.23 -0.23)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.97% (-0.209 -0.21)33.03% (0.213 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.38% (-0.232 -0.23)69.62% (0.235 0.23)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 64.96%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 16.5%
    Draw 18.53%
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.7% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.54% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.41% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 6.81% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 4.43% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4% (0.055 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 2.08% (0.025 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.88% (0.034 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 64.96%
1-1 @ 8.21% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 18.53%
1-2 @ 4.55% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-1 @ 3.5% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.94% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 16.5%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Borussia M'bach

RB Leipzig
83.6%
Draw
11.0%
Borussia Monchengladbach
5.5%
73
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 5.30pm
Borussia M'bach
3-0
RB Leipzig
Hofmann (10', 35'), Bensebaini (53')

Kampl (25')
May 2, 2022 7.30pm
Borussia M'bach
3-1
RB Leipzig
Embolo (17'), Hofmann (45+2', 77')
Stindl (23'), Kone (88'), Neuhaus (90+1'), Hofmann (90+1')
Elvedi (64')
Nkunku (36')
Gvardiol (10'), Simakan (22')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
4-1
Borussia M'bach
Gvardiol (21'), Silva (33'), Nkunku (90+1'), Henrichs (90+4')
Orban (59'), Gvardiol (81'), Simakan (89')
Bensebaini (88')
Hutter (24'), Embolo (41'), Stindl (42')
Feb 27, 2021 5.30pm
RB Leipzig
3-2
Borussia M'bach
Nkunku (57'), Poulsen (66'), Sorloth (90+3')
Sabitzer (41'), Upamecano (43')
Hofmann (6' pen.), Thuram (19')
Elvedi (49'), Bensebaini (90+3')
Oct 31, 2020 5.30pm
Borussia M'bach
1-0
RB Leipzig
Wolf (60')
Wendt (52'), Neuhaus (56'), Rose (82')

Kampl (61'), Hee-chan (69'), Sabitzer (70'), Nkunku (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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