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Wolfsburg
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 18, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
 
Wolfsburg

Stuttgart
0 - 1
Wolfsburg


Karazor (9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Marmoush (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 Stuttgart
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, March 12 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 1-1 Wolfsburg

Neither of these teams are strangers to drawing matches this season, with one third of their league games ending as a stalemate so far this campaign, including both last weekend. As such, we can envisage a share of the spoils at the Mercedes-Benz Arena on Saturday, with the hosts having to fight for every point that they can collect between now and the end of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
StuttgartDrawWolfsburg
45.74% (-0.68 -0.68) 24.39% (0.113 0.11) 29.87% (0.569 0.57)
Both teams to score 57.64% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.16% (-0.192 -0.19)44.84% (0.193 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.8% (-0.185 -0.19)67.2% (0.185 0.19)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.27% (-0.363 -0.36)19.73% (0.364 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.25% (-0.592 -0.59)51.75% (0.593 0.59)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81% (0.29100000000001 0.29)28.19% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12% (0.367 0.37)63.88% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 45.74%
    Wolfsburg 29.87%
    Draw 24.39%
StuttgartDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 45.74%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.046 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.39%
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
0-1 @ 7.04% (0.115 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.108 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.05% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 29.87%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg

Stuttgart
28.6%
Draw
38.8%
Wolfsburg
32.7%
49
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
3-2
Stuttgart
Marmoush (23'), Arnold (38'), Gerhardt (90+1')
Wimmer (42')
Guirassy (22'), Mavropanos (45+1')
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
Stuttgart
1-1
Wolfsburg
Fuhrich (89')
Sosa (22'), Endo (34'), Karazor (55')
Brooks (13')
Schlager (61'), Nmecha (66')
Dec 11, 2021 5.30pm
Wolfsburg
0-2
Stuttgart

Bornauw (24'), Arnold (79')
Mavropanos (25'), Forster (63')
Ito (41'), Marmoush (71')
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Stuttgart
1-3
Wolfsburg
Castro (90+2')
Ahamada (63'), Castro (77'), Cisse (86')
Schlager (13'), Weghorst (29'), Gerhardt (65')
Dec 20, 2020 5pm
Wolfsburg
1-0
Stuttgart
Brekalo (49')
Steffen (76'), Gerhardt (90+2')

Gonzalez (20'), Anton (48'), Mangala (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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