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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Stuttgart

Freiburg
2 - 1
Stuttgart

Grifo (60' pen., 84' pen.)
Hofler (63'), Gunter (74'), Grifo (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fuhrich (30')
Karazor (40'), Zagadou (59'), Ito (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Sandhausen 0-2 Freiburg
Tuesday, February 7 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Stuttgart

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 0-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, February 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-0 Stuttgart

 Although Freiburg are yet to find their top form since returning to action after the World Cup, it is surely only a matter of time until Streich's side put together the sort of winning run we have seen so often from them in recent times. Stuttgart, on the other hand, appear to be in a significant spot of bother having only won three league games so far this season. They are likely to fall to a third successive defeat on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 58.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 20.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
FreiburgDrawStuttgart
58.06% (0.59399999999999 0.59) 21.42% (-0.237 -0.24) 20.51% (-0.362 -0.36)
Both teams to score 57.82% (0.259 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.96% (0.605 0.61)40.03% (-0.60899999999999 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.6% (0.622 0.62)62.39% (-0.627 -0.63)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.44% (0.378 0.38)13.55% (-0.384 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.36% (0.756 0.76)40.63% (-0.762 -0.76)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.11% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28% (0.004999999999999 0)69.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 58.06%
    Stuttgart 20.51%
    Draw 21.42%
FreiburgDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-0 @ 8.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.6% (0.093 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.97% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.3% (0.092 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.82% (0.052 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.054 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 58.06%
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.42%
1-2 @ 5.48% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-1 @ 4.96% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-2 @ 2.74% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 20.51%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Stuttgart

Freiburg
85.7%
Draw
5.4%
Stuttgart
8.9%
56
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Stuttgart
0-1
Freiburg

Sosa (15'), Fuhrich (28'), Ahamada (46'), Mavropanos (90+8')
Grifo (11')
Sallai (28'), Keitel (84')
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-0
Stuttgart
Ito (37' og.), Schade (72')
Hofler (24')

Sosa (90+4')
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Stuttgart
2-3
Freiburg
Mavropanos (45'), Al Ghaddioui (45+2')
Forster (13'), Klimowicz (55')
Woo-yeong (3', 9'), Holer (28')
Schade (89')
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-1
Stuttgart
Demirovic (14'), Woo-yeong (37')
Keitel (66'), Schmid (74')
Wamangituka (7')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Second Round
Stuttgart
1-0
Freiburg
Kalajdzic (15')
Stenzel (44'), Klimowicz (55')

Grifo (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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