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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Stuttgart

Freiburg
1 - 3
Stuttgart

Kubler (45+11')
Streich (21'), Ginter (41'), Eggestein (45+4'), Kubler (90'), Philipp (90+9')
Rohl (18')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Undav (3'), Fuhrich (7'), Mittelstadt (74')
Mittelstadt (72'), Stiller (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 3-1 Freiburg
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 5-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Stuttgart

Stuttgart have lost three on the trot on their travels, and that could become four losses in succession against a Freiburg team that are undefeated at the Europa-Park Stadion since mid-September, with that 4-2 loss to Dortmund still the club's only home Bundesliga reverse this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawStuttgart
44.13% (0.458 0.46) 23.26% (0.064 0.06) 32.6% (-0.523 -0.52)
Both teams to score 63.09% (-0.454 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.71% (-0.508 -0.51)38.29% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.43% (-0.541 -0.54)60.57% (0.53899999999999 0.54)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.23% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)17.76% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.53% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)48.46% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72% (-0.536 -0.54)23.27% (0.536 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.79% (-0.787 -0.79)57.2% (0.785 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 44.13%
    Stuttgart 32.6%
    Draw 23.26%
FreiburgDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 9% (0.065 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.167 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.17% (0.141 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 44.13%
1-1 @ 10.41% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.84% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.03% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.6%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Stuttgart

Freiburg
57.9%
Draw
21.1%
Stuttgart
21.1%
57
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
5-0
Freiburg
Fuhrich (8', 62'), Guirassy (17', 19'), Millot (75')
Ito (38')

Philipp (86')
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Freiburg
2-1
Stuttgart
Grifo (60' pen., 84' pen.)
Fuhrich (30')
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
0-1
Freiburg

Sosa (15'), Fuhrich (28'), Ahamada (46'), Mavropanos (90+8')
Grifo (11')
Sallai (28'), Keitel (84')
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Freiburg
2-0
Stuttgart
Ito (37' og.), Schade (72')
Hofler (24')

Sosa (90+4')
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
2-3
Freiburg
Mavropanos (45'), Al Ghaddioui (45+2')
Forster (13'), Klimowicz (55')
Woo-yeong (3', 9'), Holer (28')
Schade (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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