Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.