Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.