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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.27%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
32.06% | 23.28% | 44.66% |
Both teams to score 62.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.4% | 38.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.1% | 60.89% |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.26% | 23.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.12% | 57.87% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.32% | 17.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.69% | 48.31% |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 7.52% 1-0 @ 6.03% 2-0 @ 4.34% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.94% Total : 32.06% | 1-1 @ 10.45% 2-2 @ 6.52% 0-0 @ 4.2% 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-1 @ 7.27% 0-2 @ 6.3% 1-3 @ 5.23% 2-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 3.64% 1-4 @ 2.27% 2-4 @ 1.63% 0-4 @ 1.58% Other @ 3.92% Total : 44.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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