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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 17, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Koln logo

Freiburg
2 - 0
FC Koln

Gregoritsch (72'), Sallai (90+4')
Hofler (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ljubicic (27'), Chabot (31'), Kainz (57')
Chabot (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Freiburg
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 Mainz
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 1-1 FC Koln

Koln have become a frustrating side to play against of late, and even Bayern Munich could only score once past them in a narrow defeat for Baumgart's side. After an underwhelming performance in midweek, there could be a minor hangover for a Freiburg side that may have heavy legs after Streich went full strength in East London. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 55.86%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawFC Koln
55.86% (1.454 1.45) 22.02% (-0.437 -0.44) 22.12% (-1.021 -1.02)
Both teams to score 58.17% (0.144 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.31% (0.818 0.82)40.69% (-0.822 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.92% (0.833 0.83)63.07% (-0.83799999999999 -0.84)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.54% (0.755 0.75)14.46% (-0.76 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.58% (1.446 1.45)42.41% (-1.451 -1.45)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68% (-0.44 -0.44)31.99% (0.435 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.54% (-0.504 -0.5)68.46% (0.5 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 55.86%
    FC Koln 22.12%
    Draw 22.02%
FreiburgDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.041 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.95% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.65% (0.139 0.14)
3-1 @ 6.36% (0.194 0.19)
3-0 @ 5.58% (0.235 0.24)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.07% (0.173 0.17)
4-0 @ 2.7% (0.181 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.078 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.097 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 55.86%
1-1 @ 10.19% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.02%
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.204 -0.2)
0-1 @ 5.27% (-0.267 -0.27)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 22.12%

How you voted: Freiburg vs FC Koln

Freiburg
65.6%
Draw
18.8%
FC Koln
15.6%
32
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 30
FC Koln
0-1
Freiburg
Doan (54')
Nov 6, 2022 4.30pm
Feb 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
FC Koln
1-0
Freiburg
Modeste (23')
Thielmann (65'), Ljubicic (68')

Woo-yeong (81'), Hofler (83')
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Freiburg
1-1
FC Koln
Czichos (89' og.)
Schade (74')
Modeste (34')
Kainz (51'), Modeste (69')
Kainz (74')
May 9, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 32
FC Koln
1-4
Freiburg
Andersson (50')
Horn (37'), Andersson (47')
Petersen (18'), Demirovic (20'), Grifo (90+3'), Schmid (90+6')
Demirovic (41'), Lienhart (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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