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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 55.86%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | FC Koln |
55.86% ( 1.45) | 22.02% ( -0.44) | 22.12% ( -1.02) |
Both teams to score 58.17% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.31% ( 0.82) | 40.69% ( -0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.92% ( 0.83) | 63.07% ( -0.84) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.54% ( 0.75) | 14.46% ( -0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.58% ( 1.45) | 42.41% ( -1.45) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68% ( -0.44) | 31.99% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.54% ( -0.5) | 68.46% ( 0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | FC Koln |
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.1% Total : 55.86% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.02% | 1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.55% Total : 22.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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