MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 13:18:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 17, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
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Freiburg
2 - 0
FC Koln

Gregoritsch (72'), Sallai (90+4')
Hofler (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ljubicic (27'), Chabot (31'), Kainz (57')
Chabot (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Freiburg
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League

FC Koln

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 Mainz
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 1-1 FC Koln

 Koln have become a frustrating side to play against of late, and even Bayern Munich could only score once past them in a narrow defeat for Baumgart's side. After an underwhelming performance in midweek, there could be a minor hangover for a Freiburg side that may have heavy legs after Streich went full strength in East London. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 55.86%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawFC Koln
55.86% (1.454 1.45) 22.02% (-0.437 -0.44) 22.12% (-1.021 -1.02)
Both teams to score 58.17% (0.144 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.31% (0.818 0.82)40.69% (-0.822 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.92% (0.833 0.83)63.07% (-0.83799999999999 -0.84)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.54% (0.755 0.75)14.46% (-0.76 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.58% (1.446 1.45)42.41% (-1.451 -1.45)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68% (-0.44 -0.44)31.99% (0.435 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.54% (-0.504 -0.5)68.46% (0.5 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 55.86%
    FC Koln 22.12%
    Draw 22.02%
FreiburgDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.041 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.95% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.65% (0.139 0.14)
3-1 @ 6.36% (0.194 0.19)
3-0 @ 5.58% (0.235 0.24)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.07% (0.173 0.17)
4-0 @ 2.7% (0.181 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.078 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.097 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 55.86%
1-1 @ 10.19% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.02%
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.204 -0.2)
0-1 @ 5.27% (-0.267 -0.27)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 22.12%

How you voted: Freiburg vs FC Koln

Freiburg
65.6%
Draw
18.8%
FC Koln
15.6%
32
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 30
FC Koln
0-1
Freiburg
Doan (54')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 13
Freiburg
2-0
FC Koln
Woo-yeong (53'), Gregoritsch (64')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
FC Koln
1-0
Freiburg
Modeste (23')
Thielmann (65'), Ljubicic (68')

Woo-yeong (81'), Hofler (83')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Freiburg
1-1
FC Koln
Czichos (89' og.)
Schade (74')
Modeste (34')
Kainz (51'), Modeste (69')
Kainz (74')
> Preview
May 9, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 32
FC Koln
1-4
Freiburg
Andersson (50')
Horn (37'), Andersson (47')
Petersen (18'), Demirovic (20'), Grifo (90+3'), Schmid (90+6')
Demirovic (41'), Lienhart (81')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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