MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 03:21:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 17, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Koln logo

Freiburg
2 - 0
FC Koln

Gregoritsch (72'), Sallai (90+4')
Hofler (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ljubicic (27'), Chabot (31'), Kainz (57')
Chabot (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Freiburg
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 Mainz
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 1-1 FC Koln

Koln have become a frustrating side to play against of late, and even Bayern Munich could only score once past them in a narrow defeat for Baumgart's side. After an underwhelming performance in midweek, there could be a minor hangover for a Freiburg side that may have heavy legs after Streich went full strength in East London. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 55.86%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawFC Koln
55.86% (1.454 1.45) 22.02% (-0.437 -0.44) 22.12% (-1.021 -1.02)
Both teams to score 58.17% (0.144 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.31% (0.818 0.82)40.69% (-0.822 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.92% (0.833 0.83)63.07% (-0.83799999999999 -0.84)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.54% (0.755 0.75)14.46% (-0.76 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.58% (1.446 1.45)42.41% (-1.451 -1.45)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68% (-0.44 -0.44)31.99% (0.435 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.54% (-0.504 -0.5)68.46% (0.5 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 55.86%
    FC Koln 22.12%
    Draw 22.02%
FreiburgDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.041 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.95% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.65% (0.139 0.14)
3-1 @ 6.36% (0.194 0.19)
3-0 @ 5.58% (0.235 0.24)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.07% (0.173 0.17)
4-0 @ 2.7% (0.181 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.078 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.097 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 55.86%
1-1 @ 10.19% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.02%
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.204 -0.2)
0-1 @ 5.27% (-0.267 -0.27)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 22.12%

How you voted: Freiburg vs FC Koln

Freiburg
65.6%
Draw
18.8%
FC Koln
15.6%
32
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 30
FC Koln
0-1
Freiburg
Doan (54')
Nov 6, 2022 4.30pm
Feb 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
FC Koln
1-0
Freiburg
Modeste (23')
Thielmann (65'), Ljubicic (68')

Woo-yeong (81'), Hofler (83')
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Freiburg
1-1
FC Koln
Czichos (89' og.)
Schade (74')
Modeste (34')
Kainz (51'), Modeste (69')
Kainz (74')
May 9, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 32
FC Koln
1-4
Freiburg
Andersson (50')
Horn (37'), Andersson (47')
Petersen (18'), Demirovic (20'), Grifo (90+3'), Schmid (90+6')
Demirovic (41'), Lienhart (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern119203672929
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1172227161123
3RB Leipzig11632189921
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen115512618820
5Borussia DortmundDortmund116142218419
6Freiburg115241315-217
7Stuttgart114432119216
8Union BerlinUnion Berlin1144399016
9Wolfsburg114342018215
10Werder Bremen114341722-515
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
12Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
13Hoffenheim113351722-512
14Augsburg113351323-1012
15Heidenheim113171520-510
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum110291032-222


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