Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 17, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Freiburg2 - 0FC Koln
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Freiburg
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 Mainz
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Freiburg 1-1 FC Koln
Koln have become a frustrating side to play against of late, and even Bayern Munich could only score once past them in a narrow defeat for Baumgart's side. After an underwhelming performance in midweek, there could be a minor hangover for a Freiburg side that may have heavy legs after Streich went full strength in East London. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 55.86%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | FC Koln |
55.86% ( 1.45) | 22.02% ( -0.44) | 22.12% ( -1.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.17% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.31% ( 0.82) | 40.69% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.92% ( 0.83) | 63.07% ( -0.84) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.54% ( 0.75) | 14.46% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.58% ( 1.45) | 42.41% ( -1.45) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68% ( -0.44) | 31.99% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.54% ( -0.5) | 68.46% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
Freiburg 55.86%
FC Koln 22.12%
Draw 22.02%
| Freiburg | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.1)5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.1% Total : 55.86% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.02% | 1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 3% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.55% Total : 22.12% |
How you voted: Freiburg vs FC Koln
Freiburg
65.6%Draw
18.8%FC Koln
15.6%32
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 2.30pm
Nov 6, 2022 4.30pm
Form Guide
