Watford travel to Burnley on Thursday evening looking to build on their dramatic draw with Leicester City and pull further clear of the relegation zone.
The Hornets picked up a decent point on their return to action at the weekend, whereas Burnley were thrashed 5-0 against Manchester City as their European prospects were further derailed.
Match preview
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Watford had Craig Dawson's acrobatic strike in added time to thank for their 1-1 draw with Leicester, the defender finding the net three minutes after Ben Chilwell opened the scoring with an equally as impressive goal.
Boss Nigel Pearson described the result as "a really good point" for his side in their quest to dodge the drop, with the gap on the bottom three now standing at one point with eight games to play.
The Hornets could do with a few more wins in those remaining fixtures, having picked up maximum points only once in their last eight matches.
For those that need reminding after the three-month hiatus, that solitary victory since mid-January came against Liverpool in one of the Premier League's biggest ever shocks.
The six points earned in their last eight matches is as many as they collected from their first two outings of 2020, and there is still plenty of work to be done if Watford are to stay afloat.
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While Watford can be pleased with the result in their first game back, there were few positives - if any - for Burnley in their heavy loss at the Etihad Stadium.
The scoreline was not the biggest talking point to come out of Monday's match, though.
A plane carrying a banner reading "White Lives Matter Burnley" flew over the ground shortly after kickoff and dominated the headlines, leading to an impassioned speech from Burnley skipper Ben Mee at full time.
Sean Dyche will be hoping that all the talking is done on the field on Thursday, and this game presents the Clarets with a real chance of picking up a first win in four games.
The Lancashire outfit have slipped into the bottom half during that winless run, which does include a creditable draw with Tottenham Hotspur, and are now five points off seventh.
Burnley have a good recent record against Thursday's opponents, too, having won four of their seven Premier League encounters, including a 3-0 triumph earlier this season.
Burnley's Premier League form: DWWDDL
Watford's Premier League form: LDLWLD
Team News
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Burnley remain without Ashley Barnes, Ben Gibson and Robbie Brady for the visit of Watford.
Dyche is also sweating on the fitness of Johann Berg Gudmundsson and Chris Wood, who sat out the loss to City on Monday.
The Clarets named an inexperienced bench last time out due to a lack of squad depth, not helped by a number of players - Jeff Hendrick and Phil Bardsley among them - failing to agree short-term contract extensions.
Watford will make the trip to Turf Moor without injured trio Gerard Deulofeu, Daryl Janmaat and Isaac Success.
Pearson may well opt to field the same XI that started against Leicester given the five-day break between matches, which would mean six-goal striker Troy Deeney again leading the line.
However, the Hornets have more depth to their squad than Burnley and can recall the likes of Tom Cleverley, Danny Welbeck and Jose Holebas to the starting lineup should they wish.
Burnley possible starting lineup:
Pope; Lowton, Tarkowski, Mee, Taylor; Brownhill, Westwood, Cork, McNeil; Vydra, Rodriguez
Watford possible starting lineup:
Foster; Femenia, Kabasele, Dawson, Masina; Capoue, Hughes; Sarr, Doucoure, Pereyra; Deeney
We say: Burnley 1-2 Watford
Watford have won only one of their 20 midweek Premier League away games. However, Hornets boss Pearson has won each of his last three away league meetings with Burnley and we are predicting an upset of sorts at Turf Moor on Thursday.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Watford had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burnley in this match.
