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Cagliari logo
Serie A | Gameweek 36
Jul 26, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Udinese logo

Cagliari
0 - 1
Udinese


Ionita (75'), Nandez (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)

Preview: Cagliari vs. Udinese - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A fixture between Cagliari and Udinese, including team news and predicted lineups.

Udinese will be looking to build on a shock midweek win over Juventus when they travel to Cagliari on Sunday evening.

The Bianconeri earned a 2-1 comeback victory at the Dacia Arena to move up to 15th and within three points of opponents Cagliari, who were defeated 2-1 by Lazio on the same day.


Match preview

Udinese boss Luca Gotti in November 2019.© Reuters

Juventus would have been crowned champions of Italy for a ninth successive year had they picked up victory against Udinese in Thursday's clash.

Instead, though, they were pegged back by goals from Ilija Nestorovski and Seko Fofana after Matthijs de Ligt had given them the lead.

Fofana's goal arrived in added time and it could prove to be a huge strike for Udinese in their battle to avoid the drop.

Luca Gotti's side entered the match on a poor run that had seen them collect one point from the last nine on offer and were just four points above the bottom three at kickoff.

As it is, however, they are now within one win of making certain of their top-flight status.

Realistically, they can probably lose all three remaining games and stay up given that 18th-placed Lecce have a seven-point deficit to make up.

Cagliari boss Walter Zenga pictured in April 2018© Reuters

Indeed, victory at the Sardegna Arena this weekend in their 50th Serie A meeting with Cagliari and they will be level on points with their opponents in 13th.

Cagliari have dropped off massively since winning back-to-back games against SPAL and Torino late last month, failing to win any of their seven matches since then.

Four of those games have finished all square - only Hellas Verona have drawn more in the Italian top flight this term - including their last two at home.

In fact, the Islanders have won only won of their last nine home games, whereas Udinese have won two of their last three away, as many as they managed in their previous 14.

After throwing away a one-goal lead to lose against Lazio last time out, Walter Zenga's men could do with stopping the rot ahead of games with Juventus and AC Milan to conclude the season.

Cagliari's Serie A form: LDDLDL

Udinese's Serie A form: DWLDLW


Team News

Radja Nainggolan celebrates after scoring for Cagliari against Inter Milan in January 2020© Reuters

Artur Ionita returned from suspension to start against Lazio last time out and is likely to retain his place in central midfield on Sunday.

There will be no Radja Nainggolan for Cagliari, however, with the midfielder being ruled out for the season with a calf injury.

Striker Joao Pedro has scored four goals against Udinese during his career, although only one of those has come at home.

Udinese have a few players on the sidelines, but they did at least welcome Stefano Okaka back from suspension for the win over Juventus.

Jens Stryger Larsen was brought on for Marvin Zeegelaar last time out and is in contention to start this one.

Fofana, the late matchwinner in midweek, has scored two goals against Cagliari in Serie A, including in his most recent game against them back in December.

Cagliari possible starting lineup:
Cragno; Walukiewicz, Klavan, Lykogiannis; Farago, Nandez, Ionita, Rog, Mattiello; Pedro, Simeone

Udinese possible starting lineup:
Musso; Becao, Troost-Ekong, Nuytinck; Avest, Fofana, De Paul, Sema, Zeegelaar; Nestorovski, Okaka


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Cagliari 1-2 Udinese

Udinese are surely now safe from the drop after beating champions-elect Juventus and this is a fixture that they tend to do well in. The visitors have won three in a row against Cagliari and, given the form of Zenga's side, we are backing an away win on Sunday.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Napoli128221991026
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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