Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 69.79%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 12.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.