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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 27, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
VfL Bochum

Dortmund
4 - 2
VfL Bochum

Guirassy (44', 75'), Can (62' pen.), Nmecha (81')
Couto (58'), Gross (70')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Bero (16'), de Wit (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 5-1 Dortmund
Sunday, September 22 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-0 VfL Bochum

 Though Dortmund were outplayed by Stuttgart, it is difficult to see them dropping points at home against relegation-contenders Bochum. Additionally, given the visitors' poor away record and their concerning defensive record, it would not be surprising if the hosts scored multiple goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 62.43%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 18.92% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.46%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (4.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawVfL Bochum
62.43% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 18.65% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 18.92% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 65.39% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.96% (0.089999999999989 0.09)29.04% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.98% (0.109 0.11)50.02% (-0.105 -0.11)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.94% (0.027999999999992 0.03)9.06% (-0.023899999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.19% (0.060999999999993 0.06)30.81% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9% (0.070000000000007 0.07)28.1% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.23% (0.088999999999999 0.09)63.77% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 62.43%
    VfL Bochum 18.92%
    Draw 18.65%
Borussia DortmundDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 7.34% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.11% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.48% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 2.84% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.37% (0.006 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.2% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 62.43%
1-1 @ 7.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 18.65%
1-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 3.23% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 2.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 18.92%

How you voted: Dortmund vs VfL Bochum

Borussia Dortmund
90.8%
Draw
7.2%
VfL Bochum
2.0%
153
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 19
Dortmund
3-1
VfL Bochum
Fullkrug (6' pen., 72', 90+1' pen.)
Malen (56')
Schlotterbeck (45' og.)
Riemann (4'), Wittek (59'), Paciencia (89')
> Preview
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
VfL Bochum
1-1
Dortmund
Stoger (13')
Stoger (66'), Bero (71')
Malen (56')
Can (75')
> Preview
Apr 28, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
VfL Bochum
1-1
Dortmund
Losilla (5')
Adeyemi (7')
> Preview
Feb 8, 2023 7.45pm
Round of 16
VfL Bochum
1-2
Dortmund
Stoger (64' pen.)
Can (45+1'), Reus (70')
> Preview
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Dortmund
3-0
VfL Bochum
Moukoko (8', 45+2'), Reyna (12' pen.)
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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