Dortmund1 - 0Chelsea
The Match
Match Report
Team News
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, February 11 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Chelsea |
39.33% ( -1.63) | 24.14% ( 0.21) | 36.52% ( 1.43) |
| Both teams to score 60.88% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
