Champions League

Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 7, 2023 at 8.10pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
2 - 0
Dortmund

(Chelsea win 2-1 on aggregate)

Sterling (43'), Havertz (53' pen.)
Arrizabalaga (65'), Fernandez (77'), Chilwell (90+2'), Cucurella (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sule (41'), Bellingham (90+8'), Wolf (90+2')

Kai Havertz talks up Chelsea boss Graham Potter as "big manager"

Kai Havertz heaps praise on Chelsea head coach Graham Potter, describing his boss as "a big manager" after the Blues reached the Champions League quarter-finals.

Mar 8, 13:06

Kai Havertz celebrates scoring for Chelsea against Borussia Dortmund on March 7, 2023

Emre Can criticises referee after Borussia Dortmund Champions League exit

Borussia Dortmund midfielder Emre Can slams the performance of the referee after the Bundesliga giants lose to Chelsea in the Champions League last 16.

Mar 8, 12:46

Graham Potter hails Chelsea after "tense" win over Borussia Dortmund in Champions League

Head coach Graham Potter acknowledges his relief after Chelsea record a 2-0 victory over Borussia Dortmund on Tuesday night to reach the Champions League quarter-finals.

Mar 7, 23:18

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 RB Leipzig
Friday, March 3 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
42.63% ( -0.15)	24.9% ( -0.02)	32.48% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 57.2% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.01% (

0.15)

45.99% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.71% (

0.14)

68.3% (

-0.13)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.41% (

-0)

21.59% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.32% (

-0.01)

54.69% (

0.01)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.95% (

0.18)

27.05% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.58% (

0.23)

62.42% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Chelsea 42.63%

Borussia Dortmund 32.48%

Draw 24.89%

Chelsea	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 42.63%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.89%	1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.05% Total : 32.48%