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Champions League header

Champions League
Sevilla logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Dortmund logo

Sevilla
1 - 4
Dortmund

En-Nesyri (51')
Gudelj (3'), En-Nesyri (22'), Lamela (68'), Salas (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Guerreiro (6'), Bellingham (41'), Adeyemi (43'), Brandt (75')
Ozcan (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Sevilla and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Sevilla 0-2 Atletico
Saturday, October 1 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: FC Koln 3-2 Dortmund
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Sevilla 1-1 Borussia Dortmund

 Given the amount of players that Dortmund are likely to have unavailable for this fixture - and the importance of Der Klassiker at the weekend - we can envisage the visitors being extremely content to leave Seville with a point on Wednesday. Sevilla have started the season in terrible form and may not be massively disappointed with avoiding defeat either, so we can envisage a share of the spoils in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawBorussia Dortmund
43.09% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17) 23.46% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 33.45% (0.169 0.17)
Both teams to score 62.72% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.08% (0.060000000000002 0.06)38.91% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.77% (0.063000000000002 0.06)61.23% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)18.44% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.37% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)49.62% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91% (0.123 0.12)23.09% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.06% (0.177 0.18)56.93% (-0.182 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 43.09%
    Borussia Dortmund 33.45%
    Draw 23.45%
SevillaDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.2% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.09% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.68%
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 43.09%
1-1 @ 10.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.26% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.78% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 33.45%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Dortmund

Sevilla
29.1%
Draw
23.9%
Borussia Dortmund
46.9%
309
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2021 8pm
Dortmund
2-2
Sevilla
Braut Haaland (35', 54' pen.)
Morey (20'), Braut Haaland (55'), Can (67')
En-Nesyri (69' pen., 90+6')
Acuna (40'), Kounde (51'), Jordan (55'), Oscar (71'), Fernando (76'), Carlos (77')
> Preview
Feb 17, 2021 8pm
Sevilla
2-3
Dortmund
Suso (7'), De Jong (84')
Oscar (88'), Lopetegui (90+5')
Dahoud (19'), Braut Haaland (27', 43')
Hummels (73'), Braut Haaland (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
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7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
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12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


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