Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 24, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
2 - 1
Salzburg

Sanchez (19'), Calhanoglu (64' pen.)
Mkhitaryan (28')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gluh (57')
Simic (23'), Gourna-Douath (29'), Struber (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Inter Milan and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Torino 0-3 Inter Milan
Saturday, October 21 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Salzburg 0-1 LASK
Saturday, October 21 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Goals
for

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Red Bull Salzburg

Even though Salzburg are unbeaten on their travels all season, Inter should make their technical superiority count against the visitors without several players in the meeting at San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
42.2% ( 1.41)	25.78% ( 0.01)	32.01% ( -1.42)

Both teams to score 54.04% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.99% (

-0.43)

50% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.01% (

-0.38)

71.98% (

0.38)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.47% (

0.51)

23.52% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.43% (

0.74)

57.56% (

-0.74)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.67% (

-1.13)

29.33% (

1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.69% (

-1.4)

65.3% (

1.4)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 42.2%

Red Bull Salzburg 32.01%

Draw 25.77%

Inter Milan	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
1-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 42.2%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.77%	0-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.5% Total : 32.01%