Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 65.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.09%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Inter Milan |
13.93% | 20.32% ( -0) | 65.76% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 47.67% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.36% ( 0) | 46.64% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.09% ( 0) | 68.91% ( -0) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.01% ( -0) | 44.98% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.08% | 80.92% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.65% ( 0) | 13.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.78% ( 0) | 40.22% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 4.8% ( -0) 2-1 @ 3.86% 2-0 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.04% 3-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.29% Total : 13.93% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0) 0-0 @ 6% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.32% | 0-2 @ 12.17% 0-1 @ 12.09% 1-2 @ 9.73% 0-3 @ 8.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.53% 0-4 @ 4.12% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.61% 0-5 @ 1.66% 1-5 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.76% Total : 65.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 17 | 31 | 44 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 30 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |