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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Inter logo

Empoli
0 - 1
Inter Milan


Pezzella (33'), Maleh (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dimarco (51')
Acerbi (26'), Bastoni (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 7-0 Empoli
Sunday, September 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Empoli 1-3 Inter Milan

Empoli can get off the mark with an overdue goal this weekend, though even if they end their drought Inter simply boast too much firepower for them to handle. A change of management may eventually have some effect on the Azzurri's ailing fortunes, but their Milanese counterparts will take charge of proceedings in Sunday's early kickoff and post a fifth league win on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.81%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
EmpoliDrawInter Milan
15.84% (0.02 0.02) 21.79% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 62.37% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.67% (0.117 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.9% (0.137 0.14)49.1% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83% (0.125 0.13)71.18% (-0.121 -0.12)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.2% (0.106 0.11)43.8% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.04% (0.086000000000002 0.09)79.96% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.82% (0.049999999999997 0.05)15.18% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.2% (0.091000000000001 0.09)43.8% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 15.84%
    Inter Milan 62.36%
    Draw 21.78%
EmpoliDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 5.49% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.27% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.27%
3-1 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.11% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 15.84%
1-1 @ 10.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.78%
0-1 @ 12.53% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 11.81% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.42% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 6.13% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.5% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.89% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.013 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.008 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 62.36%

How you voted: Empoli vs Inter Milan

Empoli
8.8%
Draw
5.9%
Inter Milan
85.3%
68
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 31
Empoli
0-3
Inter Milan
Lukaku (48', 76'), Martinez (88')
Jan 23, 2023 7.45pm
May 6, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 36
Inter Milan
4-2
Empoli
Romagnoli (40' og.), Martinez (45', 64'), Sanchez (90+4')
Martinez (64')
Pinamonti (5'), Asllani (28')
Jan 19, 2022 8pm
Final
Inter Milan
3-2
Empoli
Sanchez (13'), Ranocchia (90+1'), Sensi (104')
Vecino (54')
Bajrami (61'), Radu (76' og.)
Romagnoli (77')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Empoli
0-2
Inter Milan

Luperto (29')
Ricci (52')
D'Ambrosio (34'), Dimarco (66')
de Vrij (24'), Brozovic (59'), Gagliardini (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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