MX23RW : Friday, January 17 15:18:05| >> :600:184478:184478:
Inter logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Benfica

Inter Milan
1 - 0
Benfica

Thuram (62')
Martinez (67'), Barella (68'), Dumfries (70'), Asllani (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Inter Milan and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Porto
Friday, September 29 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Benfica

Inzaghi's cup expertise means backing Inter to secure a win over Benfica is a safe bet, with the Nerazzurri extending their unbeaten run against the Portuguese outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawBenfica
32.82% (1.72 1.72) 24.83% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 42.35% (-1.671 -1.67)
Both teams to score 57.54% (0.883 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.4% (0.83600000000001 0.84)45.6% (-0.835 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.07% (0.793 0.79)67.93% (-0.79000000000001 -0.79)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.35% (1.506 1.51)26.65% (-1.503 -1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (1.949 1.95)61.9% (-1.945 -1.95)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.45% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)21.55% (0.415 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.37% (-0.64 -0.64)54.63% (0.641 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 32.82%
    Benfica 42.35%
    Draw 24.83%
Inter MilanDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 7.71% (0.278 0.28)
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.02% (0.242 0.24)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.259 0.26)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.168 0.17)
3-0 @ 2.21% (0.194 0.19)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 32.82%
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.141 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 8.95% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-1 @ 8.82% (-0.433 -0.43)
0-2 @ 6.77% (-0.423 -0.42)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.46% (-0.263 -0.26)
2-3 @ 3.03% (0.035 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.76% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 42.35%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Benfica

Inter Milan
77.6%
Draw
13.1%
Benfica
9.3%
214
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Inter Milan
3-3
Benfica
Barella (14'), Martinez (65'), Correa (78')
Aursnes (38'), Silva (86'), Musa (90+5')
Apr 11, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Benfica
0-2
Inter Milan
Barella (51'), Lukaku (82' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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