MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 02:10:01| >> :60:1911:1911:
Inter logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Benfica

Inter Milan
1 - 0
Benfica

Thuram (62')
Martinez (67'), Barella (68'), Dumfries (70'), Asllani (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Inter Milan and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Porto
Friday, September 29 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Benfica

Inzaghi's cup expertise means backing Inter to secure a win over Benfica is a safe bet, with the Nerazzurri extending their unbeaten run against the Portuguese outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawBenfica
32.82% (1.72 1.72) 24.83% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 42.35% (-1.671 -1.67)
Both teams to score 57.54% (0.883 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.4% (0.83600000000001 0.84)45.6% (-0.835 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.07% (0.793 0.79)67.93% (-0.79000000000001 -0.79)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.35% (1.506 1.51)26.65% (-1.503 -1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (1.949 1.95)61.9% (-1.945 -1.95)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.45% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)21.55% (0.415 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.37% (-0.64 -0.64)54.63% (0.641 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 32.82%
    Benfica 42.35%
    Draw 24.83%
Inter MilanDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 7.71% (0.278 0.28)
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.02% (0.242 0.24)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.259 0.26)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.168 0.17)
3-0 @ 2.21% (0.194 0.19)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 32.82%
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.141 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 8.95% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-1 @ 8.82% (-0.433 -0.43)
0-2 @ 6.77% (-0.423 -0.42)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.46% (-0.263 -0.26)
2-3 @ 3.03% (0.035 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.76% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 42.35%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Benfica

Inter Milan
77.6%
Draw
13.1%
Benfica
9.3%
214
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Inter Milan
3-3
Benfica
Barella (14'), Martinez (65'), Correa (78')
Aursnes (38'), Silva (86'), Musa (90+5')
Apr 11, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Benfica
0-2
Inter Milan
Barella (51'), Lukaku (82' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!