Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 2, 2022 at 8pm UK

Juventus Stadium

Juventus
1 - 2
PSG

Bonucci (39')
Gatti (15'), Milik (45+2'), Fagioli (76')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mbappe (13'), Mendes (69')
Verratti (85')

Mbappe breaks Lionel Messi Champions League record

Paris Saint-Germain forward Kylian Mbappe breaks Lionel Messi's record to become the youngest player to reach 40 Champions League goals.

Nov 3, 18:49

Paris Saint-Germain's (PSG) Nuno Mendes celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on November 2, 2022

Paris Saint-Germain finish second in Group H despite victory at Juventus

Paris Saint-Germain beat Juventus 2-1 in the Champions League, although it is not enough for them to win Group H, with Benfica coming out on top.

Nov 2, 22:08

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Juventus
Saturday, October 29 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: PSG 4-3 Troyes
Saturday, October 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Juventus 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

PSG cannot always rely on their talented forward line to drag them out of trouble, but Juventus are in big trouble themselves, with Allegri's injury crisis worsening by the week. Even without Vlahovic, the hosts can feel confident about breaching the Parisiens' leaky backline at a ground where goals have been aplenty, but a full-strength PSG can expose a weakened Juventus XI themselves to finish first and leave the Old Lady at risk of no European football after the World Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Juventus win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
35.44% ( -0.28)	23.68% ( 0.04)	40.87% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 62.44% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.49% (

-0.27)

39.5% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.15% (

-0.29)

61.85% (

0.28)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.71% (

-0.27)

22.28% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.26% (

-0.41)

55.74% (

0.41)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.35% (

-0.01)

19.65% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.38% (

-0.02)

51.62% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Juventus 35.44%

Paris Saint-Germain 40.87%

Draw 23.67%

Juventus	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.44%	1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.67%	1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 40.87%