Juventus1 - 2PSG
The Match
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Saturday, October 29 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, October 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1
We said: Juventus 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain
PSG cannot always rely on their talented forward line to drag them out of trouble, but Juventus are in big trouble themselves, with Allegri's injury crisis worsening by the week. Even without Vlahovic, the hosts can feel confident about breaching the Parisiens' leaky backline at a ground where goals have been aplenty, but a full-strength PSG can expose a weakened Juventus XI themselves to finish first and leave the Old Lady at risk of no European football after the World Cup. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Juventus win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
35.44% ( -0.28) | 23.68% ( 0.04) | 40.87% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 62.44% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.49% ( -0.27) | 39.5% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.15% ( -0.29) | 61.85% ( 0.28) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.71% ( -0.27) | 22.28% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.26% ( -0.41) | 55.74% ( 0.41) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.35% ( -0.01) | 19.65% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.38% ( -0.02) | 51.62% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.44% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 40.87% |
