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Champions League header

Champions League
PSG logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Benfica

PSG
1 - 1
Benfica

Mbappe (40' pen.)
Sarabia (29'), Verratti (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mario (62' pen.)
Otamendi (21'), Mario (43'), Luis (45+3'), Fernandez (69'), Gilberto (83')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Benfica.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Paris Saint-Germain could line up in Tuesday's Champions League clash with Benfica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Reims 0-0 PSG
Saturday, October 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Benfica

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Benfica 4-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, October 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 Benfica

 This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, and it would not be a surprise to see a talented Benfica side pick up a positive result on Tuesday night. PSG's home advantage could be key, though, and we are just backing the French champions to edge a tight game to move onto 10 points in the section. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawBenfica
46.68% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 23.42% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 29.9% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 61.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.69% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)40.31% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.31% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)62.68% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)17.55% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.91% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)48.09% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1% (0.042000000000002 0.04)25.89% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.12% (0.055999999999997 0.06)60.88% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 46.68%
    Benfica 29.9%
    Draw 23.41%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 6.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 46.68%
1-1 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.15% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.25% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 29.9%

How you voted: PSG vs Benfica

Paris Saint-Germain
71.7%
Draw
14.3%
Benfica
14.0%
421
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2022 8pm
Group H
Benfica
1-1
PSG
Pereira (41' og.)
Fernandez (45')
Messi (22')
Dec 10, 2013 7.45pm
Group C
Benfica
2-1
PSG
> Match Report
Oct 2, 2013 7.45pm
Group C
PSG
3-0
Benfica
> Match Report
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