Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 25, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Benfica4 - 3Juventus
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Porto 0-1 Benfica
Friday, October 21 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, October 21 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Juventus 4-0 Empoli
Friday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Friday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Benfica 1-1 Juventus
These two European giants are experiencing very different campaigns to date, with the Eagles of Benfica flying high and apparently unbeatable; the Old Lady has significantly slowed. Nonetheless, an experienced Juve side can muster all their guile to grind out a draw - though that will not be enough for them to stay in the mix for a top-two finish. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 23.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Juventus |
51.24% ( 0.02) | 25.19% | 23.56% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.77% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
