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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Parc des Princes
Marseille

PSG
1 - 0
Marseille

Neymar (45+1')
Marquinhos (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Marseille.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Paris Saint-Germain could line up for Sunday's Ligue 1 clash with Marseille.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 1-1 Benfica
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 0-2 Marseille
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 1-0 Marseille

 The result of Sunday's derby could very well hinge on Messi's availability, and if the silky Argentine is indeed ruled out, Le Classique may not be much of a classic at all for the home crowd. As eye-catching as Marseille's wins over Sporting were, they must be taken with a great pinch of salt given their opponents' lack of discipline, and a depleted Galtier defence can still hold firm to maintain their grip on first place. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 18.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Marseille win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMarseille
58.21% (-0.289 -0.29) 22.86% (0.068000000000001 0.07) 18.93% (0.227 0.23)
Both teams to score 50.39% (0.193 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.4% (0.055 0.05)48.61% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.28% (0.048999999999999 0.05)70.72% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.6% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)16.4% (0.081999999999997 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.95% (-0.146 -0.15)46.05% (0.149 0.15)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.28% (0.289 0.29)39.72% (-0.28599999999999 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.61% (0.264 0.26)76.4% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 58.19%
    Marseille 18.93%
    Draw 22.86%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 11.77% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.64% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.41% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 58.19%
1-1 @ 10.87% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.86%
0-1 @ 6.02% (0.034 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.02% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.55% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 18.93%

How you voted: PSG vs Marseille

Paris Saint-Germain
80.6%
Draw
10.0%
Marseille
9.4%
170
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 7.45pm
PSG
2-1
Marseille
Neymar (12'), Mbappe (45+4' pen.)
Verratti (17'), Mendes (37'), Gueye (46'), Neymar (55'), Mbappe (90+1'), Donnarumma (90+1')
Caleta-Car (31')
Gerson (21')
Oct 24, 2021 7.45pm
Marseille
0-0
PSG

Sampaoli (17'), Rongier (18')

Pereira (85'), Marquinhos (85')
Hakimi (57')
Feb 7, 2021 8pm
Marseille
0-2
PSG

Gueye (49')
Payet (90+1')
Mbappe (9'), Icardi (24')
Paredes (45+1'), Icardi (53')
Sep 13, 2020 8pm
PSG
0-1
Marseille

Neymar (11'), Florenzi (13'), Bernat (52'), Paredes (72'), di Maria (74')
Kurzawa (90+7'), Paredes (90+7'), Neymar (90+9')
Thauvin (31')
Sakai (7'), Payet (11'), Gueye (38'), Gonzalez (50'), Lopez (61'), Benedetto (71'), Strootman (90+1')
Amavi (90+7'), Benedetto (90+7')
Mar 22, 2020 8pm
Marseille
P-P
PSG
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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