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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 at 8.05pm UK
Parc des Princes
Lille

PSG
4 - 1
Lille

Barcola (6'), Marquinhos (22'), Dembele (28'), Doue (37')
FT(HT: 4-0)
David (80')
Meunier (39'), Ismaily (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Stade Briochin 0-7 PSG
Wednesday, February 26 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Monaco
Saturday, February 22 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 4-1 Lille

 PSG have thrashed almost all oncomers in 2025, and even impressive outfits Monaco and Brest have suffered sobering beatings here of late, illustrating the task ahead of Lille. Genesio could also prioritise the trip to Germany on Tuesday, meaning just a third defeat in 15 league games could be on the cards for the visitors, while PSG will expect to notch a 19th win in 20 matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 66.73%. A draw has a probability of 18.7% and a win for Lille has a probability of 14.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.7%), while for a Lille win it is 1-2 (4.15%).

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLille
66.73% (-0.395 -0.39) 18.7% (0.408 0.41) 14.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55% (-1.552 -1.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.15% (-1.988 -1.99)37.86% (1.995 2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.9% (-2.156 -2.16)60.11% (2.163 2.16)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.5% (-0.64200000000001 -0.64)10.5% (0.647 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.83% (-1.474 -1.47)34.18% (1.48 1.48)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.45% (-1.282 -1.28)38.55% (1.288 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.7% (-1.245 -1.25)75.3% (1.252 1.25)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 66.73%
    Lille 14.58%
    Draw 18.7%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLille
2-0 @ 10.28% (0.42 0.42)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.067 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.13% (0.615 0.62)
3-0 @ 7.72% (0.107 0.11)
3-1 @ 7.36% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-0 @ 4.35% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.15% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.202 -0.2)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.173 -0.17)
5-0 @ 1.96% (-0.083 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.87% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 66.73%
1-1 @ 8.7% (0.297 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-0 @ 4.05% (0.377 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.7%
1-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 3.86% (0.234 0.23)
0-2 @ 1.84% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 14.58%

How you voted: PSG vs Lille

Paris Saint-Germain
88.6%
Draw
10.0%
Lille
1.4%
70
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lille
1-3
PSG
Zhegrova (78')
Alexsandro (31'), Mukau (47'), Diakite (90+1')
Vitinha (33' pen.), Barcola (36'), Kolo (90+2')
Beraldo (24'), Donnarumma (84')
> Preview
Feb 10, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 21
PSG
3-1
Lille
Ramos (10'), Alexsandro (17' og.), Kolo (80')
Ugarte (35'), Mukiele (74')
Yazici (6')
Andre (16'), Ismaily (32'), Fonseca (40'), Alexsandro (52')
> Preview
Dec 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Lille
1-1
PSG
David (90+4')
Diakite (66')
Mbappe (66' pen.)
Ugarte (18')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 24
PSG
4-3
Lille
Mbappe (11', 87'), Neymar (17'), Messi (90+5')
Diakite (24'), David (58' pen.), Bamba (69')
> Match Report
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lille
1-7
PSG
Bamba (54')
Andre (39'), David (83')
Mbappe (1', 66', 87'), Messi (27'), Hakimi (39'), Neymar (43', 52')
Ramos (34')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG25205070244665
2Marseille25154652302249
3Nice25137549301946
4MonacoMonaco25135749321744
5Lille25128540271344
6Lyon25126746311542
7StrasbourgStrasbourg2511773932740
8Lens2510693029136
9Brest25113113840-236
10Toulouse259793227534
11Auxerre2587103638-231
12Rennes2592143536-129
13Angers2576122640-1427
14NantesNantes2559112843-1524
15Reims2557132640-1422
16Le HavreLe Havre2563162451-2721
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2555152557-3220
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2543182159-3815
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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