MX23RW : Friday, May 9 22:25:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
PSG logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 at 8.05pm UK
Parc des Princes
Lille

PSG
4 - 1
Lille

Barcola (6'), Marquinhos (22'), Dembele (28'), Doue (37')
FT(HT: 4-0)
David (80')
Meunier (39'), Ismaily (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stade Briochin 0-7 PSG
Wednesday, February 26 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Monaco
Saturday, February 22 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 4-1 Lille

PSG have thrashed almost all oncomers in 2025, and even impressive outfits Monaco and Brest have suffered sobering beatings here of late, illustrating the task ahead of Lille. Genesio could also prioritise the trip to Germany on Tuesday, meaning just a third defeat in 15 league games could be on the cards for the visitors, while PSG will expect to notch a 19th win in 20 matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 66.73%. A draw has a probability of 18.7% and a win for Lille has a probability of 14.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.7%), while for a Lille win it is 1-2 (4.15%).

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLille
66.73% (-0.395 -0.39) 18.7% (0.408 0.41) 14.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55% (-1.552 -1.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.15% (-1.988 -1.99)37.86% (1.995 2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.9% (-2.156 -2.16)60.11% (2.163 2.16)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.5% (-0.64200000000001 -0.64)10.5% (0.647 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.83% (-1.474 -1.47)34.18% (1.48 1.48)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.45% (-1.282 -1.28)38.55% (1.288 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.7% (-1.245 -1.25)75.3% (1.252 1.25)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 66.73%
    Lille 14.58%
    Draw 18.7%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLille
2-0 @ 10.28% (0.42 0.42)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.067 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.13% (0.615 0.62)
3-0 @ 7.72% (0.107 0.11)
3-1 @ 7.36% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-0 @ 4.35% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.15% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.202 -0.2)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.173 -0.17)
5-0 @ 1.96% (-0.083 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.87% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 66.73%
1-1 @ 8.7% (0.297 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-0 @ 4.05% (0.377 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.7%
1-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 3.86% (0.234 0.23)
0-2 @ 1.84% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 14.58%

How you voted: PSG vs Lille

Paris Saint-Germain
Draw
Lille
Paris Saint-Germain
88.6%
Draw
10.0%
Lille
1.4%
70
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lille
1-3
PSG
Zhegrova (78')
Alexsandro (31'), Mukau (47'), Diakite (90+1')
Vitinha (33' pen.), Barcola (36'), Kolo (90+2')
Beraldo (24'), Donnarumma (84')
Feb 10, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 21
PSG
3-1
Lille
Ramos (10'), Alexsandro (17' og.), Kolo (80')
Ugarte (35'), Mukiele (74')
Yazici (6')
Andre (16'), Ismaily (32'), Fonseca (40'), Alexsandro (52')
Dec 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Lille
1-1
PSG
David (90+4')
Diakite (66')
Mbappe (66' pen.)
Ugarte (18')
Feb 19, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 24
PSG
4-3
Lille
Mbappe (11', 87'), Neymar (17'), Messi (90+5')
Diakite (24'), David (58' pen.), Bamba (69')
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lille
1-7
PSG
Bamba (54')
Andre (39'), David (83')
Mbappe (1', 66', 87'), Messi (27'), Hakimi (39'), Neymar (43', 52')
Ramos (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG32246285335278
2Marseille32185967442359
3MonacoMonaco32177861372458
4Nice32169760392157
5Lille32169750331757
6StrasbourgStrasbourg32169753391457
7Lyon321661063441954
8Lens32146123738-148
9Brest32145135053-347
10Auxerre32118134647-141
11Rennes32122184746138
12Toulouse32108144040038
13Reims3289153243-1133
14Angers3296173050-2033
15NantesNantes32711143551-1632
16Le HavreLe Havre3294193666-3031
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3276193574-3927
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3244242272-5016


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!