Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.4%) and 3-1 (5.14%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.