Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 13, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Stadion Rajko Mitic

Red Star
2 - 3
Man City

In-beom (76'), Katai (90+1')
Spajic (45+1'), Mijailovic (65'), Djiga (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hamilton (19'), Bobb (62'), Phillips (85' pen.)
Phillips (52')

Manchester City surpass Liverpool to break Champions League record with Red Star win

Manchester City break a fresh Champions League winning record after beating Red Star Belgrade 3-2 in Serbia in their final Group G fixture on Wednesday night.

Dec 13, 22:18

Manchester City's Micah Hamilton celebrates scoring their first goal with Rico Lewis on December 13, 2023

Pep Guardiola praises goalscoring debutant Micah Hamilton after Red Star win

Manchester City boss Pep Guardiola heaps praise on Micah Hamilton after the 20-year-old scored on his senior debut in Wednesday's 3-2 win over Red Star Belgrade in the Champions League.

Dec 13, 22:42

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Star Belgrade

Last Game: Young Boys 2-0 Red Star
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League

Manchester City

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Luton 1-2 Man City
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.36%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Red Star Belgrade	Draw	Manchester City
32.86% ( -2.69)	22.6% ( 0.39)	44.53% ( 2.31)

Both teams to score 65.7% (

-2.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.07% (

-2.8)

34.92% (

2.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.09% (

-3.19)

56.9% (

3.19)

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.47% (

-2.66)

21.53% (

2.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.4% (

-4.25)

54.59% (

4.25)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.72% (

-0.24)

16.27% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.17% (

-0.43)

45.82% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Red Star Belgrade 32.86%

Manchester City 44.53%

Draw 22.6%

Red Star Belgrade	Draw	Manchester City
2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.44) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.43) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.31) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.29) Other @ 3.59% Total : 32.86%	1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.48) 3-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.6%	1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0.42) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.82) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.71) 1-3 @ 5.37% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.4) 1-4 @ 2.44% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.17) 3-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.69% Total : 44.53%