Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Sevilla1 - 1Lens
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, September 17 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, September 17 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Lens 0-1 Metz
Saturday, September 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, September 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1
We said: Sevilla 1-0 Lens
An inspired Oukidja was the main reason for Lens' failure to make the net ripple at the weekend, but the Openda-less visitors have struggled for attacking inspiration all season long and are unlikely to turn their fortunes around against a Ramos-marshalled Sevilla backline. While Mendilibar's side have flattered to deceive on the domestic front too, morale will be higher in the hosts' camp thanks to their belated opening victory, and the Europa League winners' greater continental nous should also help them on their way to a narrow win in Group B. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Lens had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Lens |
42.17% ( 0.01) | 25.99% ( 0) | 31.84% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.31% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.07% ( -0.03) | 50.93% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.2% ( -0.03) | 72.8% ( 0.02) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.05% ( -0.01) | 23.95% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.82% ( -0.01) | 58.17% ( 0.01) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% ( -0.03) | 29.9% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34% ( -0.03) | 66% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Sevilla 42.16%
Lens 31.84%
Draw 25.98%
| Sevilla | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.9% Total : 42.16% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0)1-3 @ 3% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 31.84% |
How you voted: Sevilla vs Lens
Sevilla
72.5%Draw
19.7%Lens
7.7%142
