Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 20, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan

Sevilla
1 - 1
Lens

Ocampos (9')
Gudelj (37'), Ramos (70'), Ocampos (73')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Fulgini (24')
Medina (14'), Sotoca (17'), Samba (18'), Fulgini (30'), Haidara (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Sevilla and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions

Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, September 17 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 0-1 Metz
Saturday, September 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

An inspired Oukidja was the main reason for Lens' failure to make the net ripple at the weekend, but the Openda-less visitors have struggled for attacking inspiration all season long and are unlikely to turn their fortunes around against a Ramos-marshalled Sevilla backline. While Mendilibar's side have flattered to deceive on the domestic front too, morale will be higher in the hosts' camp thanks to their belated opening victory, and the Europa League winners' greater continental nous should also help them on their way to a narrow win in Group B. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Lens had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Lens
42.17% ( 0.01)	25.99% ( 0)	31.84% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53.31% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.07% (

-0.03)

50.93% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.2% (

-0.03)

72.8% (

0.02)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.05% (

-0.01)

23.95% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.82% (

-0.01)

58.17% (

0.01)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.1% (

-0.03)

29.9% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34% (

-0.03)

66% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 42.16%

Lens 31.84%

Draw 25.98%

Sevilla	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.9% Total : 42.16%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.98%	0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 31.84%