Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Rennes |
41.47% ( 0.04) | 25.99% ( -0.03) | 32.53% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.54% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.26% ( 0.12) | 50.74% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.36% ( 0.11) | 72.64% ( -0.11) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.78% ( 0.08) | 24.21% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.44% ( 0.11) | 58.55% ( -0.11) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.65% ( 0.05) | 29.35% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.66% ( 0.06) | 65.33% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 41.46% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 13 |
4 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
9 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
10 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 6 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |