We said: Lens 1-3 Rennes
While Lens struggled without Openda and Fofana as they threw away a 2-0 lead last time out, Rennes hit the ground running with a dominant 5-1 victory on the opening weekend. With that in mind, we expect the Red and Blacks to carry their momentum into Sunday's showdown, inflicting back-to-back defeats on the Blood and Gold. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Rennes |
41.47% ( 0.04) | 25.99% ( -0.03) | 32.53% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.54% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.26% ( 0.12) | 50.74% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.36% ( 0.11) | 72.64% ( -0.11) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.78% ( 0.08) | 24.21% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.44% ( 0.11) | 58.55% ( -0.11) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% ( 0.05) | 29.35% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.66% ( 0.06) | 65.33% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Lens 41.46%
Rennes 32.53%
Draw 25.98%
| Lens | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 41.46% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.53% |
How you voted: Lens vs Rennes
Lens
25.6%Draw
11.6%Rennes
62.8%43
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 8pm
Aug 27, 2022 8pm
Jan 8, 2022 8pm
Aug 8, 2021 12pm
