Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Lens |
29.19% ( 0.96) | 26.06% ( 0.47) | 44.74% ( -1.43) |
Both teams to score 51.79% ( -0.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.69% ( -1.4) | 52.31% ( 1.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26% ( -1.22) | 74% ( 1.22) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.52% ( -0.01) | 32.48% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.99% ( -0.01) | 69% ( 0.01) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.71% ( -1.26) | 23.29% ( 1.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.77% ( -1.87) | 57.23% ( 1.87) |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.19% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.89% Total : 44.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |