We said: Brest 0-1 Lens
Given what Lens achieved last term, we expect the Blood and Gold to claim all three points on the opening weekend, although Brest will likely give last season's runners-up a run for their money after finishing the previous campaign on a high. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Lens |
29.19% ( 0.96) | 26.06% ( 0.47) | 44.74% ( -1.43) |
| Both teams to score 51.79% ( -0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.69% ( -1.4) | 52.31% ( 1.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26% ( -1.22) | 74% ( 1.22) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.52% ( -0.01) | 32.48% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.99% ( -0.01) | 69% ( 0.01) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.71% ( -1.26) | 23.29% ( 1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.77% ( -1.87) | 57.23% ( 1.87) |
| Score Analysis |
Brest 29.19%
Lens 44.74%
Draw 26.06%
| Brest | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.19% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.23)2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.89% Total : 44.74% |
How you voted: Brest vs Lens
Brest
8.7%Draw
8.7%Lens
82.6%23
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 4.05pm
Jan 22, 2023 8pm
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 1
Lens
3-2
Brest
Belkebla (66'), Del Castillo (82' pen.)
Lees-Melou (31'), Belaili (43'), Brassier (62'), Chardonnet (71')
Lees-Melou (31'), Belaili (43'), Brassier (62'), Chardonnet (71')
Mar 5, 2022 4pm
Nov 21, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 14
Brest
4-0
Lens
