Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Lens |
29.19% (![]() | 26.06% (![]() | 44.74% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.79% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.69% (![]() | 52.31% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26% (![]() | 74% (![]() |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.52% (![]() | 32.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.99% (![]() | 69% (![]() |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.71% (![]() | 23.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.77% (![]() | 57.23% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 8.51% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.97% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.78% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.79% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.19% | 1-1 @ 12.39% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.57% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 11.02% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.03% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.03% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.39% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.42% ( ![]() Other @ 2.89% Total : 44.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 25 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 70 | 24 | 46 | 65 |
2 | Marseille | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 49 |
3 | Nice | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 46 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Lille | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Lyon | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 40 |
8 | Lens | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 |
9 | Brest | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Toulouse | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
11 | Auxerre | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Rennes | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 29 |
13 | Angers | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 27 |
14 | NantesNantes | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 24 |
15 | Reims | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 22 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 20 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |