Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 50.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Metz |
50.67% ( -2.35) | 25.68% ( 0.96) | 23.65% ( 1.38) |
Both teams to score 48.47% ( -1.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.56% ( -2.41) | 54.44% ( 2.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.19% ( -2.04) | 75.8% ( 2.04) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.48% ( -1.93) | 21.52% ( 1.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.42% ( -3.06) | 54.58% ( 3.06) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.77% ( -0.03) | 38.23% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.01% ( -0.03) | 74.99% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.42) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.29) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.28) Other @ 3.19% Total : 50.66% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.42) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.75) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.71) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.57% Total : 23.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 37 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |