Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Lens had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Lens |
38.24% (![]() | 25.11% (![]() | 36.65% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.35% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.82% (![]() | 46.18% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.53% (![]() | 68.47% (![]() |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.16% (![]() | 23.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.98% (![]() | 58.02% (![]() |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.3% (![]() | 24.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.76% (![]() | 59.23% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Lens |
2-1 @ 8.46% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.44% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.05% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.05% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.04% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.02% Total : 38.24% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 2-2 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.89% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.1% | 1-2 @ 8.26% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.23% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.76% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.85% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 0.97% 0-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 1.86% Total : 36.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 22 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 59 | 20 | 39 | 56 |
2 | Marseille | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 46 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Nice | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Lille | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Lyon | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Lens | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 |
8 | Brest | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 32 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Toulouse | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 27 |
11 | Auxerre | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 25 |
12 | Rennes | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 23 |
13 | Angers | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Reims | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 22 |
15 | NantesNantes | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 21 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 18 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 17 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |