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Champions League | League Stage
Oct 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
PSV

PSG
1 - 1
PSV

Hakimi (55')
Mendes (40')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lang (34')
Junior (45+3'), Dams (77'), Ledezma (90+1'), Babadi (90+2'), Benitez (90+3'), Benitez (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-2 PSV
Saturday, October 19 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 PSV Eindhoven

No player has recovered possession more times than Schouten (23) in the current UCL campaign, and with both the 27-year-old and Veerman missing, PSV are at risk of being overrun in midfield. The visitors' struggles away from home in Europe are also well-documented, so we can only envisage PSG comfortably getting back on track in the Champions League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawPSV Eindhoven
47.7% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 24.17% (0.0010000000000012 0) 28.13% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.24% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.15% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)44.85% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.79% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)67.21% (0.012 0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08%18.92% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.58% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)50.42% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)29.4% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.6% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)65.4% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 47.7%
    PSV Eindhoven 28.13%
    Draw 24.16%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.26% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.71% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 5.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 47.7%
1-1 @ 11.33%
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 6.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 28.13%

How you voted: PSG vs PSV

Paris Saint-Germain
83.5%
Draw
12.6%
PSV Eindhoven
3.8%
261
rhs 2.0
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