We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 PSV Eindhoven
No player has recovered possession more times than Schouten (23) in the current UCL campaign, and with both the 27-year-old and Veerman missing, PSV are at risk of being overrun in midfield.
The visitors' struggles away from home in Europe are also well-documented, so we can only envisage PSG comfortably getting back on track in the Champions League.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.