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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Cardiff City logo

Blackburn
1 - 0
Cardiff

Rankin-Costello (53')
Dolan (33'), Hyam (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Collins (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Watford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-2 Cardiff City

Despite the difference in league positions, there is an argument that the momentum is with Blackburn heading into this encounter. Nevertheless, Cardiff needed the international break after appearing to run out of steam, and we are backing the Bluebirds to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawCardiff City
50.14% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 24.33% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 25.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 54.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)47.51% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)69.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.02% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)18.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.48% (0.010000000000005 0.01)50.52% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.8% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.63% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.37% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 50.14%
    Cardiff City 25.53%
    Draw 24.33%
Blackburn RoversDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.76%
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 50.14%
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 6.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.43%
0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 25.53%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Cardiff

Blackburn Rovers
45.8%
Draw
45.8%
Cardiff City
8.3%
24
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round
Blackburn
5-2
Cardiff
Garrett (13'), Sigurdsson (36'), Moran (49', 54'), Markanday (69')
Robinson (18'), Etete (45+3')
Jan 1, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 26
Blackburn
1-0
Cardiff
Dack (48')
Oct 4, 2022 8pm
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Cardiff
0-1
Blackburn

Drameh (41'), Ng (59'), Collins (73'), Pack (90+4')
Rothwell (14')
Paul van Hecke (42'), Travis (50'), Lenihan (56'), Nyambe (59'), Gallagher (90'), Kaminski (90+1')
Nyambe (76')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Blackburn
5-1
Cardiff
Gallagher (24'), Brereton Diaz (32', 45+1', 90' pen.), Dolan (53')
Morrison (58')
Flint (8'), Phillips (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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