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Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Cardiff

Jones (56'), Latte Lath (84')
Greenwood (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Grant (32'), Ng (36'), Goutas (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 2-0 Rotherham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-2 Cardiff City

Middlesbrough's newfound mettle will be put to the test and then some on Tuesday night, and Carrick's backline are unlikely to walk away unscathed, especially with their ongoing crisis on the left-hand side. However, Cardiff have also been prone to defensive collapses on rival turf this season, and an entertaining draw could prolong the feel-good factor around the Riverside Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
56.82% (0.108 0.11) 22.12% (-0.216 -0.22) 21.05% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 56.24% (0.884 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.48% (1.098 1.1)42.51% (-1.103 -1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.08% (1.085 1.09)64.92% (-1.092 -1.09)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (0.40600000000001 0.41)14.77% (-0.411 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.99% (0.778 0.78)43.01% (-0.783 -0.78)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.98% (0.723 0.72)34.01% (-0.728 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.3% (0.775 0.78)70.69% (-0.78 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 56.82%
    Cardiff City 21.05%
    Draw 22.12%
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.61% (-0.334 -0.33)
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-1 @ 6.32% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.86% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.115 0.12)
4-1 @ 3.02% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.8% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.078 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.049 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 56.82%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.106 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.02% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.12%
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.42% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.075 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 21.05%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Cardiff

Middlesbrough
50.0%
Draw
17.6%
Cardiff City
32.4%
34
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Cardiff
1-3
Middlesbrough
Kaba (25')
Forss (17'), Archer (38'), McGree (90')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
2-3
Cardiff
Watmore (76'), Muniz (77')
O'Dowda (4'), Harris (20'), Ng (45')
Apr 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Middlesbrough
2-0
Cardiff
Tavernier (28'), McGree (53')
Jones (88'), Howson (90')

Nelson (27'), Wintle (33'), Denham (62'), Vaulks (90')
Oct 23, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 14
Cardiff
0-2
Middlesbrough

Pack (28'), McGuinness (34'), Flint (70')
Sporar (35' pen.), Payero (74')
Ikpeazu (38')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 33
Middlesbrough
1-1
Cardiff
McNair (82')
Morrison (37')
Vaulks (30'), Bennett (57'), Ng (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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