Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough2 - 0Cardiff
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Watford 2-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-0 Rotherham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Middlesbrough 2-2 Cardiff City
Middlesbrough's newfound mettle will be put to the test and then some on Tuesday night, and Carrick's backline are unlikely to walk away unscathed, especially with their ongoing crisis on the left-hand side. However, Cardiff have also been prone to defensive collapses on rival turf this season, and an entertaining draw could prolong the feel-good factor around the Riverside Stadium. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Cardiff City |
56.82% ( 0.11) | 22.12% ( -0.22) | 21.05% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 56.24% ( 0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.48% ( 1.1) | 42.51% ( -1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.08% ( 1.09) | 64.92% ( -1.09) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.23% ( 0.41) | 14.77% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.99% ( 0.78) | 43.01% ( -0.78) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.98% ( 0.72) | 34.01% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.3% ( 0.78) | 70.69% ( -0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough 56.82%
Cardiff City 21.05%
Draw 22.12%
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.33)2-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.85% Total : 56.82% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 21.05% |
How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Cardiff
Middlesbrough
50.0%Draw
17.6%Cardiff City
32.4%34
Form Guide
