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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 52.17%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Cardiff City |
52.17% ( -0.91) | 23.72% ( -0.02) | 24.1% ( 0.92) |
Both teams to score 54.95% ( 1.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.86% ( 0.99) | 46.13% ( -1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.56% ( 0.93) | 68.43% ( -0.94) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.33% ( 0.03) | 17.67% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.7% ( 0.05) | 48.29% ( -0.06) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.74% ( 1.36) | 33.25% ( -1.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.13% ( 1.47) | 69.87% ( -1.47) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.66% Total : 52.17% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.36% Total : 24.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Burnley | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Watford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Bristol City | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Hull City | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
17 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
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